WEEKLY COMMODITY OUTLOOK (13-06-11 TO 17-06-11)

SILVER:- Last week it
followed the less probable bearish route against our expectation of bearish
route to mark the high of the week at 37.86 & reversed swiftly. For the
coming week we foresee highly volatile , initially bearish(32.50) & then
bullish. We recommend going short
around 36.80 with the stop of 37.40 for
the initial target of 34.50 & then stretched target of 32.50.In rupee terms
sell short around 54700 with 55200 as stop for the initial target of 51600 & then stretched
target of 48900 in JULY 2011 MCX FUTURE.

CRUDE:-Last
week it
followed the less probable trajectory & made the high of 102.44 & swiftly declined to 99
levels..We see resistance at 99.50-100.00.In our view it should decline 95-96
& find the support & breach of 95.50 will lead to 86-88 zone. We
recommend going short above 99.25 with the stop of 100.00 for the target of
95.50-96 & 88.00.In rupee terms sell at 4450 with the stop of 4480 for the
initial target of 4340 & then 4225 & 3940 in JUNE 2011 MCX FUTURE.

NATURALGAS:-
Last week it made the high of off viciously to 4651.We
do see some consolidation during the initial part of the week, with our bullish
bias looking it to head for 5120-5160 as normal case & 5380-5440 as
stretched case. We recommend going long
around 4750 with the stop of 4650 for the target of 5120-5160 &
5380-5440 if stretches further. In rupee terms buy around 212.00 with the stop
of 208 for the target of 227 & above
in JUNE 2011 MCX FUTURE.

COPPER:- Copper made the high of 417 against our estimate of 419-417& declined to mark the low at 402.00. In the process it has formed the descending triangle with the base at 402.In our view it has resistance at 412-410. Downside we are looking for the support at 388-386 & as stretched case 375-373.We recommend going short at 408 with the stop of 412 for the initial target of 387 & 374. In rupee terms go short above 405 with the stop of 409 for the target of 390 & lower in JUNE 2011 MCXX FUTURE.

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LEAD:- Last week it made the top of 2615 &
terminated the five wave pattern on the upside. We now see the resistance at
2580-2600 for any up move & downside we see support at 2380-2400. We
recommend the short position at 2560
with the stop of 2610 for the target of 2400 & 2270. In rupee
terms sell around 115 with the stop of 116 for the target of 109 & lower in
JUNE 2011 MCX FUTURE. |

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NICKEL:-
Nickel has been laggard with its peers base metals in time. Last week it has hit the high of 23303. We are expecting a resistance at
23050-23200 & supports at 22050-22200 & 21400-21500. For the coming
week we recommend going short above 22800 with the stop of 23300 for the
target of 22200 & 21500. In rupee
terms go short around
1025 with the stop of 1040
for the target of 980 & 940 in JUNE 2011 MCX FUTURE. |


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