Weekly Currency Outlook

USD-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it  opened at 44.92 & went down to mark the low of 4474. It then keep moving till the 45.18.5 to register the high of the week & finally closed at 44.9825. For the coming week we see support zone at 44.80-44.83 & resistance zones at 45.38-45.41 & then at 45.58-45.62.In short we are  expecting the large corrective pattern which commenced from 44.39(8th April,2011) will get  further accelerated on upside as strength denoted by the momentum oscillators. However in the such global turmoil with volatile & dynamic environment, it will be prudent to take this as rough skeleton & we will refine as well as retuned final target with the additional data on daily basis. Swing trader should go long on any decline towards 44.85  with the stop  44.70  for the target of 45.38-45.51 & 45.58-45.62. Once the trade runs in profit please trail the stop to lock in the profit.  Remember traders discretion & judgment of price top/bottom  formation while entering the trade  is vital for profitability of trade  & this can be done at that moment of time only.

EURO-USD:-Last week it opened at 1.43060,went up to mark the high of 1.44419  & then declined to register the low of 1.40666  to finally close at 1.41100. For the coming week our bias is negative with the resistance at 1.4300-1.4320 & support at 1.3740-1.3800. Swing trader should hold their  short position  entered around 1.49100  with the stop of 1.4340   for the  target of 1.37600-1.3800 & lower.       


 EURO-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it  opened  at 64.8975 & this itself was the high of the week. It then went down & made the low of 63.7000 to close finally at 64.2050.In our view it should open with the gap down & may find support at 62.65-62.45 & then move up.Only as an extreme case it may move down to 61.55-61.40. In our view aggressive  swing trader should  go short on breach of ATR with the stop of the high for the target of 62.65-62.45.Once the trade runs in profit trail the stop suitably for exit so that profit is compounded & any lower target can also be taken advantage of it. Remember traders discretion & judgment of price behavior while entering the trade  is vital for right direction  & this can be done at that moment of time only.



GBP:-  Last week's price low of 1.6147 has surpassed the first target & confirmed our estimation of downtrend.For the coming week we see resistance at 1.6250-1.6300 but with our negative bias we see downside targets at 1.5975-1.6025 & then at 1.5750-1.5800. In our view aggressive  swing trader should go short  above 1.6200 with the stop of 1.6300  for the target of 1.6050-1.6005 & lower.



GBP-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it opened at 73.85, made the high of 73.9450 & closed the week at 73.1750. For the coming week we see it hitting downside the target of 72.40-72.00 & then 71.85-71.70.  In our view aggressive  swing trader should go short around.73.20  with the stop placed at 73.50  for the target of 72.40 & lower.                                                              



USD-JPY:- Last week it made the low of 79.56 & closed the week at 80.796.In the process it has completed the pull back process after breaking out from  the  INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDER pattern. For the coming week  we are expecting it to bounce to 82.80-83.00 & then may go to 84.15-84.35.On the downside we see strong support at 80.40-80.20.  In our view aggressive  swing trader should go long  around 80.30 with the tight stop of 80.05 for the target of 82.80-83.00 & higher.                                             



JPY-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it made the high of 55.9775 & closed at 55.695. We now  see  it  having resistance at 56.00-56.25 & downside it has support at 55.00-55.20 & then at 53.90-54.10. In our view aggressive  swing trader should go short on any rally  with the stops of 56.40 for the target of 55.00 & lower.   


DOLLAR INDEX :- Last week it made high of 76.14 with the weekly white candle confirming the reversal of trend denoted by the bullish ENGULFING PATTERN. For the coming week we see good support at 75.20-75.40 & resistances  at 76.80-77.00 & 78.20-78.40.


                      WEEKLY PIVOT POINTS

SCRIPT

SUPPORT2

SUPPORT1

PIVOTPOINT

RESISTANCE1

RESISTANCE2

USDINR

44.5375

44.7600

44.9625

45.1850

45.3875

EUROUSD

1.38309

1.39705

1.42062

1.43458

1.45815

EUROINR

63.0700

63.6375

64.2675

64.8350

65.4650

GBP

1.5917

1.6058

1.6287

1.6428

1.6657

GBPINR

72.4950

72.835

73.3900

73.7300

74.2850

USDJPY

78.7853

79.7906

80.5653

81.5706

82.3453

JPYINR

54.9300

55.3125

55.6450

56.0275

56.3600

DX-INDEX

73.596

74.272

75.206

75.882

76.816

SPECIAL NOTE:- We would earnestly request the readers to read carefully the qualifying conditions for the call to be activated. Without meeting the qualifier conditions call do not get activated & simply cursory look at chart & arrow may lead to erroneous call activation & financial losses.

 THIS IS THE PORTRAY OF GENERAL BROADER MARKET VIEW WITHOUT ANY SPECIFIC STRATEGY & SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUIED AS SPECIFIC CALLS.FOR THE MORE POIGNANT VIEW ON MARKET,WINNING STRATEGY & PIN POINT TIMELY PRICE LEVEL CALLS, CONTACT US  TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OUR PREMIUM SERVICES.           

      WRITER WELCOMES ANY SUGGESTIONS,FEEDBACK OR QUERY AT INFO@JKDVIEWPOINT.COM.             

                                             

 




 

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