Weekly Currency Outlook

EURO-USD:-Last week it opened at 1.43060,went up to mark the high of 1.44419 & then declined to register the low of 1.40666 to finally close at 1.41100. For the coming week our bias is negative with the resistance at 1.4300-1.4320 & support at 1.3740-1.3800. Swing trader should hold their short position entered around 1.49100 with the stop of 1.4340 for the target of 1.37600-1.3800 & lower.

EURO-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it opened at 64.8975 & this itself was the high of the week. It then went down & made the low of 63.7000 to close finally at 64.2050.In our view it should open with the gap down & may find support at 62.65-62.45 & then move up.Only as an extreme case it may move down to 61.55-61.40. In our view aggressive swing trader should go short on breach of ATR with the stop of the high for the target of 62.65-62.45.Once the trade runs in profit trail the stop suitably for exit so that profit is compounded & any lower target can also be taken advantage of it. Remember traders discretion & judgment of price behavior while entering the trade is vital for right direction & this can be done at that moment of time only.

GBP:- Last week's price low of 1.6147 has surpassed the first target & confirmed our estimation of downtrend.For the coming week we see resistance at 1.6250-1.6300 but with our negative bias we see downside targets at 1.5975-1.6025 & then at 1.5750-1.5800. In our view aggressive swing trader should go short above 1.6200 with the stop of 1.6300 for the target of 1.6050-1.6005 & lower.

GBP-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it opened at 73.85, made the high of 73.9450 & closed the week at 73.1750. For the coming week we see it hitting downside the target of 72.40-72.00 & then 71.85-71.70. In our view aggressive swing trader should go short around.73.20 with the stop placed at 73.50 for the target of 72.40 & lower.

USD-JPY:- Last week it made the low of 79.56 & closed the week at 80.796.In the process it has completed the pull back process after breaking out from the INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDER pattern. For the coming week we are expecting it to bounce to 82.80-83.00 & then may go to 84.15-84.35.On the downside we see strong support at 80.40-80.20. In our view aggressive swing trader should go long around 80.30 with the tight stop of 80.05 for the target of 82.80-83.00 & higher.

JPY-INR MAY 2011 MCX-SX FUTURE :-Last week it made the high of 55.9775 & closed at 55.695. We now see it having resistance at 56.00-56.25 & downside it has support at 55.00-55.20 & then at 53.90-54.10. In our view aggressive swing trader should go short on any rally with the stops of 56.40 for the target of 55.00 & lower.

DOLLAR INDEX :- Last week it made high of 76.14 with the weekly white candle confirming the reversal of trend denoted by the bullish ENGULFING PATTERN. For the coming week we see good support at 75.20-75.40 & resistances at 76.80-77.00 & 78.20-78.40.

WEEKLY PIVOT POINTS SCRIPT SUPPORT2 SUPPORT1 PIVOTPOINT RESISTANCE1 RESISTANCE2 USDINR 44.5375 44.7600 44.9625 45.1850 45.3875 EUROUSD 1.38309 1.39705 1.42062 1.43458 1.45815 EUROINR 63.0700 63.6375 64.2675 64.8350 65.4650 GBP 1.5917 1.6058 1.6287 1.6428 1.6657 GBPINR 72.4950 72.835 73.3900 73.7300 74.2850 USDJPY 78.7853 79.7906 80.5653 81.5706 82.3453 JPYINR 54.9300 55.3125 55.6450 56.0275 56.3600 DX-INDEX 73.596 74.272 75.206 75.882 76.816 SPECIAL NOTE:- We would earnestly request the readers to read carefully the qualifying conditions for the call to be activated. Without meeting the qualifier conditions call do not get activated & simply cursory look at chart & arrow may lead to erroneous call activation & financial losses. THIS IS THE PORTRAY OF GENERAL BROADER MARKET VIEW WITHOUT ANY SPECIFIC STRATEGY & SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUIED AS SPECIFIC CALLS.FOR THE MORE POIGNANT VIEW ON MARKET,WINNING STRATEGY & PIN POINT TIMELY PRICE LEVEL CALLS, CONTACT US TO SUBSCRIBE FOR OUR PREMIUM SERVICES. WRITER WELCOMES ANY SUGGESTIONS,FEEDBACK OR QUERY AT INFO@JKDVIEWPOINT.COM.


Comments