WEEKLY CURRENCY REPORT (01-11-2010)

EURO-INR:-It is in the terminal stages of five wave completion from the bottom of 55.37 formed on the 7th June,2010.We see feeble & final rally to 63.00 level at max. & from there on we see a down move to 60.65 & 59.35.We recommend selling short NOV MCX FUTURE at 63.10 with the stop of 63.25 for the target of 60.80 & then 59.50.

GBP-INR:- It has terminated the long drawn 4th wave at 69.37 in last few days. We are expecting the 5th wave rise to 75.00 with poor momentum, time consuming & laboured one. We recommend going long on NOV MCX FUTURE at 71.20 with the stop of 70.50 for the target of 75.00 in next 3-4 weeks.

JPY-INR:- We are expecting one more rise towards the target of 56.55-57.90 range to terminate the five wave pattern which began from the 46.756 low of May,2010.We recommend long position at NOV MCX FUTURE at 55.35 with the stop of 54.85 for the target range of 56.80-58.15.

EURO-USD:- From the 1.4159 it has corrected for two weeks till 1.3732 & commenced the up move. In our view it is the terminal move of the wave began from 1.1877 & hence expect it to rise with the poor quality of momentum towards the target range of 1.4200-1.4250.We recommend going long at 1.3940 with the stop of 1.3880 for the target range of 1.42-1.425
GBP-USD:- GBP had commenced the up move from 20th May ,2010 low of 1.4229 & this is in the terminal stages of termination. In our estimate it can still rise to 1.6320 level. We do not recommend any call as the risk to reward ratio is not favourable for traders on either side. USD-JPY:- The current down trend which began from 94.98 in May 2010, is in the terminal stage of completion. Though we still see the bounce to 80.80 in coming week & then final plunge to 79.40, we are hesitant to recommend any call. Let the confirmation of reversal of trend come & we will take the call as it is highly risky at the moment. DOLLAR-INDEX:- On the similar lines to EURO,GBP & JPY THE DOLLAR INDEX is in the terminal stages of completion of decline which began from May-June 2010.We see it still scratching the level of 74.60.However we are prepared for the any overshoot or undershoot of the wave in terminal stages. 





Comments